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Critically Thinking the Markets and the Challenge of Bureaucracy


bradgphilbrick@gmail.com
  critical thinking

I greatly enjoy studying the markets.  The stock market and especially the future’s markets.  Prices of a stock or a commodity is a consensus of value at a particular point in time.  An excellent trader reviews charts, listen to the news and often seeks the guidance and reporting of others to make a decision of whether to buy, sell, or stay on the sidelines and wait for the right time to take action.

Virtually all indicators that bonds, treasury notes, and metals will continue a downward or bearish slide.  Trading gurus and professional analysts were predicting a continued bearish move.  Most thought that the federal government would raise interest rates.  Instead, the Federal Reserve held steady on its benchmark federal funds rate while scaling back forecasts for rate hikes.

stock market image

commodity image again

Bureaucratization engulfs nearly everyone.   We find ourselves working to a rote routine, many become entrenched, then to believe that the routines we follow become the policy, the rules, the playbook.  The result is that so many work at their fixed routine and lose the ability or desire to think.

So often too organizations lose sight of their mission. The result is more rules, processes, and policies; but nothing is done to stimulate thinking, reasoning, innovation, and creativity.  Organizations leave only a long list of rules of conduct to adhere to and pre-set “goals” to accomplish.  The organization suffers from stagnation and little or no growth.

Then every so often we get a gigantic shock!  Wednesday the Federal Reserve made the decision to keep interests as they are and to minimize any possible future rate hikes.  Several were caught off guard and surprised. The Bonds and Treasury note futures surged upward.  Metals have not seen these highs since last November.  Foreign currencies rose on the Federal Reserve’s announcement while the dollar declined.

I offer a unique thought.  The U.S. government sought to wake up a nation and even a world stuck in a predictable rut where thinking and judgment were in decline like a scandalized stock on wall street.  The U.S. government gave us a grand wake-up call and had announced, “Start thinking!”